Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Tierney on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 49.1% vs Kuraly 50.3% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Tierney leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Tierney 67.0%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 68.6%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 54.3%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Tierney
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
8
(17 meetings)
9
8
Tierney
Kuraly
Last 10: Tierney 6-4 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
6
2
Tierney
Kuraly
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
4
Tierney
Kuraly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tierney
3
2
Tierney
Kuraly
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (5,342)
51.5% (5,141)
-2.2%
Power Play
52.3% (342)
56.0% (100)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (857)
44.2% (1,086)
+2.4%
On power play, Kuraly has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Tierney is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (4,137).
Tierney shoots left. Kuraly is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,102).
Home / Away
Tierney
Kuraly
Home
50.6% (3,270)
51.9% (3,187)
Away
47.7% (3,271)
48.7% (3,141)
By Period
Tierney
Kuraly
P1
49.3%
51.1%
P2
47.7%
49.9%
P3
50.5%
50.0%
OT
47.4%
52.3%
Final 5 min
46.7%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
49.1%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2022 | 1 | 04:21 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Apr 22, 2022 | 3 | 16:50 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 16, 2022 | 1 | 09:15 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 16, 2022 | 1 | 09:10 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 23, 2022 | 1 | 13:44 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 9, 2019 | 3 | 19:59 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 3 | 08:45 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 9, 2019 | 1 | 18:03 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 9, 2019 | 1 | 05:48 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 9, 2018 | 2 | 18:02 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 9, 2018 | 1 | 14:51 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 23, 2018 | 3 | 13:24 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Oct 23, 2018 | 3 | 05:31 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 18, 2017 | 3 | 12:32 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 18, 2017 | 3 | 04:42 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 18, 2017 | 1 | 12:52 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |