Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Grant wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grant 52.7% vs Kuraly 46.9% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuraly 61.7%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 60.3%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 58.1%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 59.1%
40.9%
59.1%
Grant
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Grant
Kuraly
Last 8: Grant 2-6 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Grant
Kuraly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
2
Grant
Kuraly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
2
3
Grant
Kuraly
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grant
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (511)
46.0% (661)
+7.4%
Power Play
55.6% (18)
77.8% (9)
-22.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (68)
47.1% (51)
+2.9%
On power play, Kuraly has a +22.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Grant is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (372).
Grant shoots left. Kuraly is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (524).
Home / Away
Grant
Kuraly
Home
56.1% (344)
47.2% (335)
Away
49.0% (253)
45.9% (386)
By Period
Grant
Kuraly
P1
49.4%
47.1%
P2
56.1%
44.6%
P3
54.0%
48.1%
Final 5 min
49.2%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
53.1%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2017 | 3 | 14:39 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 15, 2017 | 3 | 08:57 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 15, 2017 | 3 | 02:06 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 15, 2017 | 2 | 17:53 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Nov 15, 2017 | 2 | 11:16 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Nov 15, 2017 | 2 | 07:44 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 15, 2017 | 1 | 19:41 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 15, 2017 | 1 | 13:26 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |