Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Rose wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rose 45.1% vs Kuraly 46.9% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rose 72.7%
Defensive zone
Rose 64.0%
Neutral zone
Rose 66.9%
Result
Jacob de la Rose favored at 66.3%
66.3%
33.7%
Rose
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Rose
Kuraly
Last 5: Rose 1-4 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Rose
Kuraly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
3
Rose
Kuraly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rose
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (423)
46.0% (661)
-0.6%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
77.8% (9)
-44.5%
Penalty Kill
31.7% (41)
47.1% (51)
-15.4%
On power play, Kuraly has a +44.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Rose is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (307).
Rose shoots left. Kuraly is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (524).
Home / Away
Rose
Kuraly
Home
46.7% (227)
47.2% (335)
Away
41.7% (240)
45.9% (386)
By Period
Rose
Kuraly
P1
47.5%
47.1%
P2
42.9%
44.6%
P3
41.1%
48.1%
Final 5 min
41.3%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rose
48.0%▲
44.5%
44.1%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2018 | 3 | 11:22 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 2 | 02:55 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 1 | 09:38 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 1 | 07:46 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 13, 2018 | 1 | 01:48 | Neutral | Jacob de la Rose |