Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Josefson on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 10 meetings). Josefson wins 41.2% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Josefson 45.5% vs Kuraly 46.9% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Josefson leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Kuraly 72.1%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 65.7%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 66.0%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 66.5%
33.5%
66.5%
Josefson
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Josefson
Kuraly
Last 10: Josefson 6-4 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Josefson
1
0
Josefson
Kuraly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Josefson
1
0
Josefson
Kuraly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Josefson
6
4
Josefson
Kuraly
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Josefson
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (272)
46.0% (661)
-1.1%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
77.8% (9)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
34.9% (43)
47.1% (51)
-12.2%
On penalty kill, Kuraly has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Josefson is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (204).
Josefson shoots left. Kuraly is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (524).
Home / Away
Josefson
Kuraly
Home
43.5% (168)
47.2% (335)
Away
44.7% (152)
45.9% (386)
By Period
Josefson
Kuraly
P1
42.1%
47.1%
P2
46.0%
44.6%
P3
44.0%
48.1%
Final 5 min
52.5%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Josefson
42.0%▼
44.0%
44.1%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2018 | 3 | 05:49 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 25, 2018 | 2 | 12:34 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 25, 2018 | 2 | 07:56 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Feb 25, 2018 | 2 | 07:50 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Feb 25, 2018 | 1 | 03:21 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 10, 2018 | 3 | 19:31 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Feb 10, 2018 | 2 | 18:49 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 10, 2018 | 2 | 16:28 | Defensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Feb 10, 2018 | 2 | 07:42 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 1 | 15:01 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 1 | 12:14 | Offensive | Jacob Josefson |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 1 | 04:48 | Neutral | Jacob Josefson |