Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Drouin wins 42.6% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drouin 43.2% vs Kuraly 46.9% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drouin 86.9%
Defensive zone
Drouin 56.8%
Neutral zone
Drouin 69.6%
Result
Jonathan Drouin favored at 67.9%
67.9%
32.1%
Drouin
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Drouin
Kuraly
Last 5: Drouin 1-4 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drouin
1
0
Drouin
Kuraly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
2
Drouin
Kuraly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
2
Drouin
Kuraly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drouin
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
41.5% (869)
46.0% (661)
-4.5%
Power Play
47.9% (167)
77.8% (9)
-29.9%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (15)
47.1% (51)
-7.1%
On power play, Kuraly has a +29.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Drouin is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (688).
Drouin shoots left. Kuraly is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (524).
Home / Away
Drouin
Kuraly
Home
42.8% (502)
47.2% (335)
Away
42.3% (549)
45.9% (386)
By Period
Drouin
Kuraly
P1
44.0%
47.1%
P2
39.7%
44.6%
P3
44.4%
48.1%
Final 5 min
42.7%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
42.5%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2018 | 2 | 10:46 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 1 | 06:07 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 1 | 05:47 | Offensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Jan 17, 2018 | 3 | 03:40 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 17, 2018 | 2 | 14:37 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |