Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Granlund on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Granlund 48.5% vs Kuraly 50.3% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Granlund leads 17-9 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Granlund 65.4%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 90.2%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 66.6%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 62.8%
37.2%
62.8%
Granlund
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
9
(26 meetings)
17
9
Granlund
Kuraly
Last 10: Granlund 6-4 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
7
2
Granlund
Kuraly
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
3
5
Granlund
Kuraly
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Granlund
7
2
Granlund
Kuraly
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Granlund
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (6,718)
51.5% (5,141)
-3.0%
Power Play
52.7% (748)
56.0% (100)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (635)
44.2% (1,086)
-0.6%
On power play, Kuraly has a +3.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Granlund is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,142).
Granlund shoots left. Kuraly is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,102).
Home / Away
Granlund
Kuraly
Home
50.8% (3,884)
51.9% (3,187)
Away
46.3% (4,217)
48.7% (3,141)
By Period
Granlund
Kuraly
P1
48.7%
51.1%
P2
48.7%
49.9%
P3
48.2%
50.0%
OT
44.1%
52.3%
Final 5 min
47.5%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.5%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 14:57 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 10:49 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 07:49 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 17:53 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 1 | 16:17 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 05:37 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 02:55 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 19:14 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 05:35 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 1 | 11:14 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 30, 2021 | OT | 01:04 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 3 | 13:15 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 3 | 00:21 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 2 | 14:25 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 2 | 03:54 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 2 | 00:24 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 1 | 13:40 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 1 | 07:38 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 1 | 03:38 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 2 | 14:56 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |