Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Backstrom on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backstrom 46.9% vs Kuraly 49.5% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Backstrom leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Backstrom 65.6%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 92.4%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 68.3%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 63.1%
36.9%
63.1%
Backstrom
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
5
(14 meetings)
9
5
Backstrom
Kuraly
Last 10: Backstrom 7-3 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
5
0
Backstrom
Kuraly
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
3
Backstrom
Kuraly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backstrom
3
2
Backstrom
Kuraly
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backstrom
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (541)
52.3% (982)
-5.3%
Power Play
47.4% (95)
41.9% (43)
+5.5%
Penalty Kill
15.4% (13)
39.2% (245)
-23.8%
On penalty kill, Kuraly has a +23.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Backstrom is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (405).
Backstrom shoots left. Kuraly is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (859).
Home / Away
Backstrom
Kuraly
Home
48.5% (328)
50.3% (680)
Away
44.2% (321)
48.5% (590)
By Period
Backstrom
Kuraly
P1
44.8%
49.5%
P2
42.9%
49.6%
P3
50.9%
49.0%
OT
57.1%
57.1%
Final 5 min
47.1%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
46.4%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2022 | 3 | 08:12 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 3 | 06:57 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 1 | 19:42 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 3 | 17:34 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 3 | 06:17 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 3 | 04:32 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 3 | 03:21 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 2 | 15:06 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 2 | 13:49 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 2 | 12:42 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 1 | 17:25 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 1 | 17:19 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 1 | 03:54 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 1 | 01:06 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |