Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuraly 50.3% vs Nosek 53.9% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Kuraly leads 12-10 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Nosek 72.1%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 58.5%
Neutral zone
Nosek 55.1%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Kuraly
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
10
(22 meetings)
12
10
Kuraly
Nosek
Last 10: Kuraly 6-4 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kuraly
Nosek
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
5
1
Kuraly
Nosek
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
6
8
Kuraly
Nosek
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuraly
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (5,067)
55.0% (2,608)
-3.5%
Power Play
56.0% (100)
43.5% (46)
+12.5%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (1,063)
48.6% (397)
-4.6%
On power play, Kuraly has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Kuraly is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,037).
Kuraly shoots left. Nosek is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,880).
Home / Away
Kuraly
Nosek
Home
51.7% (3,152)
52.9% (1,606)
Away
48.7% (3,079)
55.3% (1,445)
By Period
Kuraly
Nosek
P1
50.8%
52.5%
P2
50.0%
54.7%
P3
49.9%
54.6%
OT
54.8%
75.0%
Final 5 min
48.8%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuraly
64.0%▲
53.5%
50.3%
Nosek
56.0%▬
55.5%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2025 | 3 | 17:48 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2 | 11:51 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 30, 2023 | OT | 00:26 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 2 | 05:31 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 3 | 12:41 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 3 | 11:39 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 3 | 06:11 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 2 | 19:51 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 2 | 19:33 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 2 | 15:07 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 4, 2022 | 2 | 17:26 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 2, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Oct 8, 2019 | 2 | 02:27 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Oct 8, 2019 | 2 | 02:14 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Oct 8, 2019 | 1 | 10:19 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 8, 2019 | 1 | 07:09 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |