Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudette on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Gaudette wins 42.4% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudette 46.0% vs Monahan 49.1% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 75.6%
Defensive zone
Monahan 74.4%
Neutral zone
Monahan 68.8%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 75.2%
24.8%
75.2%
Gaudette
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Gaudette
Monahan
Last 5: Gaudette 4-1 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudette
3
0
Gaudette
Monahan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Gaudette
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudette
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
40.4% (94)
46.4% (532)
-6.0%
Power Play
50.0% (30)
59.1% (132)
-9.1%
On power play, Monahan has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Gaudette is 42.4% vs left-shot opponents (92).
Gaudette shoots right. Monahan is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (210).
Home / Away
Gaudette
Monahan
Home
42.6% (61)
49.0% (355)
Away
42.9% (63)
49.0% (339)
By Period
Gaudette
Monahan
P1
41.0%
49.8%
P2
45.7%
46.6%
P3
41.0%
50.9%
Final 5 min
53.8%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudette
46.0%▼
48.5%
42.7%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2021 | 1 | 03:39 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 3 | 11:34 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 3 | 02:36 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 3 | 16:44 | Offensive | Adam Gaudette |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 1 | 02:47 | Defensive | Adam Gaudette |