Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Comeau wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Comeau 47.4% vs Monahan 51.4% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 70.8%
Defensive zone
Comeau 70.2%
Neutral zone
Monahan 51.6%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Comeau
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Comeau
Monahan
Last 6: Comeau 3-3 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Comeau
2
0
Comeau
Monahan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
2
Comeau
Monahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Comeau
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Comeau
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (158)
50.2% (1,117)
-2.7%
Power Play
51.9% (27)
55.5% (283)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (61)
56.8% (44)
-15.8%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Comeau is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (175).
Comeau shoots right. Monahan is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (516).
Home / Away
Comeau
Monahan
Home
49.3% (134)
50.1% (731)
Away
42.9% (112)
52.9% (713)
By Period
Comeau
Monahan
P1
41.0%
51.3%
P2
55.0%
50.3%
P3
42.7%
53.1%
OT
100.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
38.5%
53.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Comeau
56.0%▲
47.0%
46.3%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2017 | 2 | 14:30 | Neutral | Blake Comeau |
| Jan 4, 2017 | 2 | 08:58 | Offensive | Blake Comeau |
| Jan 4, 2017 | 2 | 00:58 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 4, 2017 | 1 | 04:28 | Offensive | Blake Comeau |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 3 | 09:52 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 3 | 05:16 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |