Scouting Report
Brandon Sutter holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Sutter wins 55.7% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 51.9% vs Monahan 51.0% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 65.0%
Defensive zone
Sutter 61.1%
Neutral zone
Monahan 55.2%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 57.8%
42.2%
57.8%
Sutter
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Sutter
Monahan
Last 10: Sutter 4-6 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
5
Sutter
Monahan
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Sutter
Monahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sutter
2
0
Sutter
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (187)
52.1% (1,301)
+1.9%
Power Play
50.0% (40)
50.3% (342)
-0.3%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (51)
38.5% (96)
+10.5%
On penalty kill, Sutter has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Sutter is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (194).
Sutter shoots right. Monahan is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (629).
Home / Away
Sutter
Monahan
Home
57.3% (164)
52.7% (875)
Away
45.6% (114)
49.3% (864)
By Period
Sutter
Monahan
P1
49.4%
51.0%
P2
52.3%
51.8%
P3
54.3%
50.9%
OT
71.4%
40.0%
Final 5 min
51.4%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
52.5%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2016 | 3 | 10:01 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 10, 2015 | OT | 01:38 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 3 | 17:52 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 3 | 12:04 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 2 | 07:52 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 1 | 14:50 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 7, 2015 | 3 | 04:55 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 7, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Oct 7, 2015 | 1 | 18:59 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |