Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.7% vs 51.3%). Look for Backes on defensive-zone draws (84% H2H, 25 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 50.7% vs Monahan 51.2% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Backes leads 32-20 in 52 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 83.4%
Defensive zone
Backes 56.1%
Neutral zone
Monahan 68.5%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 60.9%
39.1%
60.9%
Backes
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
32
-
20
(52 meetings)
32
20
Backes
Monahan
Last 10: Backes 6-4 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
5
10
Backes
Monahan
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
21
4
Backes
Monahan
25 total
Neutral Zone
Even
6
6
Backes
Monahan
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (5,772)
51.1% (11,197)
+0.0%
Power Play
50.8% (1,082)
53.6% (2,558)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (930)
46.0% (733)
+1.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Backes is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,704).
Backes shoots right. Monahan is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (5,301).
Home / Away
Backes
Monahan
Home
50.6% (3,936)
52.3% (7,234)
Away
50.7% (3,895)
50.2% (7,254)
By Period
Backes
Monahan
P1
50.1%
51.0%
P2
51.5%
51.6%
P3
50.8%
51.1%
OT
42.9%
53.7%
Final 5 min
51.9%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
50.7%
Monahan
58.0%▲
53.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2016 | 3 | 14:54 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 2 | 19:37 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 2 | 15:47 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 2 | 15:41 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 2 | 06:41 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 2 | 05:13 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 1 | 06:06 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 3 | 15:04 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 3 | 13:07 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 3 | 12:59 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 3 | 03:22 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 2 | 18:15 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 2 | 16:17 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 2 | 16:09 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 2 | 03:08 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 1 | 02:40 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 3 | 19:27 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 2 | 18:18 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Oct 13, 2015 | 2 | 11:50 | Neutral | David Backes |