Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Perron on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Perron 49.4% vs Monahan 51.4% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 66.2%
Defensive zone
Monahan 58.5%
Neutral zone
Monahan 65.6%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 61.7%
38.3%
61.7%
Perron
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Perron
Monahan
Last 7: Perron 4-3 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
2
Perron
Monahan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Perron
4
0
Perron
Monahan
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Perron
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Perron
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (37)
50.2% (1,117)
-1.6%
Power Play
61.9% (21)
55.5% (283)
+6.4%
Penalty Kill
12.5% (8)
56.8% (44)
-44.3%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +44.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Perron is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (55).
Perron shoots right. Monahan is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (516).
Home / Away
Perron
Monahan
Home
50.0% (34)
50.1% (731)
Away
46.9% (32)
52.9% (713)
By Period
Perron
Monahan
P1
50.0%
51.3%
P2
33.3%
50.3%
P3
60.9%
53.1%
OT
50.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
56.3%
53.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Perron
38.0%▼
40.0%
48.5%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2016 | 2 | 18:19 | Defensive | David Perron |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 2 | 11:53 | Defensive | David Perron |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 2 | 11:49 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 25, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 3 | 12:29 | Defensive | David Perron |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 1 | 18:21 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 1 | 12:45 | Defensive | David Perron |