Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.1% vs 45.9%). Look for Sheppard on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Sheppard wins 43.8% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sheppard 46.5% vs Monahan 46.3% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sheppard 53.6%
Defensive zone
Sheppard 53.1%
Neutral zone
Sheppard 53.5%
Result
James Sheppard favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Sheppard
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Sheppard
Monahan
Last 8: Sheppard 3-5 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
2
Sheppard
Monahan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sheppard
2
1
Sheppard
Monahan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
2
Sheppard
Monahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sheppard
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (221)
45.9% (908)
-1.6%
Power Play
63.6% (11)
49.1% (108)
+14.5%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
30.0% (20)
-30.0%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +30.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Sheppard is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (130).
Sheppard shoots left. Monahan is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (638).
Home / Away
Sheppard
Monahan
Home
47.6% (147)
48.7% (528)
Away
40.7% (86)
43.1% (508)
By Period
Sheppard
Monahan
P1
42.9%
50.1%
P2
40.3%
44.7%
P3
51.9%
42.7%
Final 5 min
44.0%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sheppard
48.0%▬
47.0%
45.1%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2014 | 2 | 18:33 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 24, 2014 | 1 | 18:11 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 24, 2014 | 1 | 14:30 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 24, 2014 | 1 | 12:09 | Defensive | James Sheppard |
| Mar 24, 2014 | 1 | 11:56 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 24, 2014 | 1 | 09:24 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 24, 2014 | 1 | 09:20 | Defensive | James Sheppard |
| Mar 24, 2014 | 1 | 05:33 | Neutral | James Sheppard |