Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.8% vs 45.9%). Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Wright wins 43.9% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wright 47.7% vs Monahan 46.3% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 72.6%
Defensive zone
Wright 68.4%
Neutral zone
Monahan 50.3%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 63.7%
36.3%
63.7%
Wright
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Wright
Monahan
Last 5: Wright 2-3 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
2
Wright
Monahan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Wright
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wright
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (155)
45.9% (908)
+3.8%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
49.1% (108)
-49.1%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (113)
30.0% (20)
+13.4%
On power play, Monahan has a +49.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Wright is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (173).
Wright shoots left. Monahan is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (638).
Home / Away
Wright
Monahan
Home
48.9% (133)
48.7% (528)
Away
44.9% (136)
43.1% (508)
By Period
Wright
Monahan
P1
49.5%
50.1%
P2
41.4%
44.7%
P3
50.0%
42.7%
OT
100.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
43.9%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wright
50.0%▲
46.5%
46.8%
Monahan
58.0%▲
53.0%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2013 | 3 | 08:16 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 18, 2013 | 3 | 06:12 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 18, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | James Wright |
| Nov 18, 2013 | 1 | 09:51 | Offensive | James Wright |
| Nov 18, 2013 | 1 | 01:16 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |