Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Dickinson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Dickinson wins 43.1% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 44.1% vs Monahan 51.0% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 93.8%
Defensive zone
Monahan 60.4%
Neutral zone
Monahan 78.8%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 67.8%
32.2%
67.8%
Dickinson
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Dickinson
Monahan
Last 5: Dickinson 4-1 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
3
0
Dickinson
Monahan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Dickinson
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
44.5% (398)
50.8% (723)
-6.3%
Power Play
22.2% (9)
53.3% (152)
-31.1%
Penalty Kill
35.5% (62)
46.2% (13)
-10.7%
On power play, Monahan has a +31.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Dickinson is 43.1% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Dickinson shoots left. Monahan is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Monahan
Home
45.2% (221)
52.5% (421)
Away
40.7% (248)
49.9% (467)
By Period
Dickinson
Monahan
P1
45.1%
51.4%
P2
40.0%
52.3%
P3
44.7%
50.2%
OT
0.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
47.1%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
42.9%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2019 | 3 | 12:24 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 28, 2018 | 3 | 15:19 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Nov 28, 2018 | 3 | 03:08 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Nov 28, 2018 | 3 | 03:00 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Nov 28, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |