Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Ward on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ward 47.4% vs Monahan 50.4% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 90.6%
Defensive zone
Monahan 59.5%
Neutral zone
Monahan 71.6%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 59.5%
40.5%
59.5%
Ward
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Ward
Monahan
Last 6: Ward 5-1 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ward
5
1
Ward
Monahan
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ward
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (181)
51.0% (1,063)
-1.8%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
49.4% (314)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
34.8% (46)
40.0% (30)
-5.2%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Ward is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (157).
Ward shoots right. Monahan is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (508).
Home / Away
Ward
Monahan
Home
40.7% (86)
53.8% (705)
Away
49.7% (145)
47.0% (702)
By Period
Ward
Monahan
P1
55.7%
47.3%
P2
43.0%
53.9%
P3
42.9%
49.6%
Final 5 min
43.1%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
46.3%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2017 | 3 | 00:20 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Dec 28, 2017 | 1 | 11:10 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Dec 28, 2017 | 1 | 01:32 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 2 | 08:02 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 2 | 02:48 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 2 | 01:17 | Defensive | Joel Ward |