Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Ward on defensive-zone draws (92% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ward 48.4% vs Monahan 51.3% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Ward leads 16-14 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 76.2%
Defensive zone
Ward 62.1%
Neutral zone
Monahan 58.2%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 57.8%
42.2%
57.8%
Ward
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
14
(30 meetings)
16
14
Ward
Monahan
Last 10: Ward 7-3 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
2
12
Ward
Monahan
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ward
12
1
Ward
Monahan
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ward
2
1
Ward
Monahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ward
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (1,186)
51.1% (11,356)
+0.2%
Power Play
53.4% (238)
53.7% (2,580)
-0.3%
Penalty Kill
35.5% (366)
46.0% (766)
-10.5%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Ward is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,320).
Ward shoots right. Monahan is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (5,401).
Home / Away
Ward
Monahan
Home
50.3% (870)
52.4% (7,358)
Away
46.5% (921)
50.2% (7,344)
By Period
Ward
Monahan
P1
47.6%
50.9%
P2
47.5%
51.7%
P3
50.3%
51.0%
OT
30.8%
53.5%
Final 5 min
45.4%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ward
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.4%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2017 | 3 | 00:20 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Dec 28, 2017 | 1 | 11:10 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Dec 28, 2017 | 1 | 01:32 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 2 | 08:02 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 2 | 02:48 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Dec 14, 2017 | 2 | 01:17 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Jan 11, 2017 | 2 | 18:00 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 11, 2017 | 1 | 07:14 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 3 | 13:44 | Offensive | Joel Ward |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 1 | 15:47 | Defensive | Joel Ward |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 1 | 13:34 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 7, 2016 | 1 | 18:12 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 11, 2016 | 2 | 00:48 | Neutral | Joel Ward |
| Jan 11, 2016 | 3 | 19:55 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 11, 2016 | 3 | 19:09 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 11, 2016 | 3 | 17:07 | Neutral | Joel Ward |
| Jan 11, 2016 | 3 | 02:36 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 11, 2016 | 2 | 10:08 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 11, 2016 | 2 | 08:33 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 11, 2016 | 2 | 04:08 | Defensive | Joel Ward |