Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.2% vs 49.3%). Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brodziak 49.3% vs Monahan 49.3% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 64.7%
Defensive zone
Brodziak 73.4%
Neutral zone
Brodziak 57.6%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Brodziak
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Brodziak
Monahan
Last 5: Brodziak 1-4 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
3
Brodziak
Monahan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brodziak
1
0
Brodziak
Monahan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Brodziak
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brodziak
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (538)
49.0% (1,435)
+0.3%
Power Play
22.2% (9)
50.2% (281)
-28.0%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (140)
50.9% (114)
-0.2%
On power play, Monahan has a +28.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Brodziak is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Brodziak shoots right. Monahan is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (746).
Home / Away
Brodziak
Monahan
Home
50.0% (310)
51.2% (936)
Away
48.5% (377)
47.3% (894)
By Period
Brodziak
Monahan
P1
49.5%
48.8%
P2
53.0%
48.9%
P3
44.7%
50.2%
OT
50.0%
48.5%
Final 5 min
55.5%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.2%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2015 | 3 | 08:25 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 18, 2015 | 1 | 11:36 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 29, 2015 | 3 | 13:36 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 29, 2015 | 2 | 00:51 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 29, 2015 | 1 | 14:45 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |