Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Okposo wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Okposo 48.3% vs Monahan 54.5% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Okposo 74.3%
Defensive zone
Okposo 70.6%
Neutral zone
Okposo 72.6%
Result
Kyle Okposo favored at 72.5%
72.5%
27.5%
Okposo
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Okposo
Monahan
Last 7: Okposo 1-6 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Okposo
Monahan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
2
Okposo
Monahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
3
Okposo
Monahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Okposo
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (218)
57.1% (871)
-6.6%
Power Play
51.6% (31)
53.1% (262)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
19.2% (26)
44.6% (139)
-25.4%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +25.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Okposo is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (205).
Okposo shoots right. Monahan is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (519).
Home / Away
Okposo
Monahan
Home
48.8% (127)
55.3% (644)
Away
46.6% (148)
54.5% (628)
By Period
Okposo
Monahan
P1
41.1%
53.9%
P2
44.2%
55.3%
P3
60.5%
54.4%
Final 5 min
47.9%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Okposo
48.0%▬
49.0%
47.6%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2024 | 1 | 09:46 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 1 | 09:44 | Offensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 2 | 12:59 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 23, 2023 | 2 | 14:12 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 23, 2023 | 2 | 03:24 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 23, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 23, 2023 | 1 | 15:12 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |