Scouting Report
Martin Hanzal holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Hanzal wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hanzal 54.1% vs Monahan 50.4% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 90.4%
Defensive zone
Hanzal 57.1%
Neutral zone
Monahan 67.9%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 82.6%
17.4%
82.6%
Hanzal
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Hanzal
Monahan
Last 9: Hanzal 2-7 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
2
5
Hanzal
Monahan
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Hanzal
Monahan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Hanzal
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hanzal
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
56.7% (321)
51.0% (1,063)
+5.7%
Power Play
60.6% (33)
49.4% (314)
+11.2%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (80)
40.0% (30)
+6.3%
On power play, Hanzal has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Hanzal is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (246).
Hanzal shoots left. Monahan is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (899).
Home / Away
Hanzal
Monahan
Home
58.6% (220)
53.8% (705)
Away
51.4% (214)
47.0% (702)
By Period
Hanzal
Monahan
P1
58.3%
47.3%
P2
56.7%
53.9%
P3
50.4%
49.6%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.2%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
55.1%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2017 | 3 | 16:42 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 3 | 15:04 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 2 | 17:06 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 2 | 07:05 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Oct 27, 2017 | 2 | 17:25 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 27, 2017 | 2 | 14:51 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 27, 2017 | 2 | 01:44 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 27, 2017 | 1 | 17:56 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 27, 2017 | 1 | 06:02 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |