Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.5% vs 49.3%). Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hendricks 49.7% vs Monahan 49.3% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 66.3%
Defensive zone
Hendricks 53.2%
Neutral zone
Monahan 52.3%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 60.4%
39.6%
60.4%
Hendricks
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Hendricks
Monahan
Last 9: Hendricks 2-7 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
6
Hendricks
Monahan
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hendricks
Monahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hendricks
1
0
Hendricks
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hendricks
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (159)
49.0% (1,435)
-1.2%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
50.2% (281)
+49.8%
Penalty Kill
55.3% (38)
50.9% (114)
+4.4%
On power play, Hendricks has a +49.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Hendricks is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (118).
Hendricks shoots left. Monahan is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,084).
Home / Away
Hendricks
Monahan
Home
51.1% (88)
51.2% (936)
Away
48.2% (110)
47.3% (894)
By Period
Hendricks
Monahan
P1
43.3%
48.8%
P2
53.8%
48.9%
P3
51.0%
50.2%
Final 5 min
63.2%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hendricks
60.0%▲
50.5%
49.5%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2015 | 3 | 12:13 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 3 | 02:10 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 31, 2015 | 3 | 03:57 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 31, 2015 | 2 | 00:14 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 31, 2014 | 2 | 16:58 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 31, 2014 | 2 | 03:04 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Dec 31, 2014 | 2 | 02:49 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 31, 2014 | 2 | 00:49 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 31, 2014 | 1 | 19:27 | Neutral | Matt Hendricks |