Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Talbot on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Talbot 48.8% vs Monahan 49.3% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 73.4%
Defensive zone
Monahan 62.4%
Neutral zone
Monahan 56.1%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 66.8%
33.2%
66.8%
Talbot
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Talbot
Monahan
Last 5: Talbot 4-1 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Talbot
Monahan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Talbot
3
0
Talbot
Monahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Talbot
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (119)
49.0% (1,435)
-2.8%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
50.2% (281)
+24.8%
Penalty Kill
51.4% (35)
50.9% (114)
+0.5%
On power play, Talbot has a +24.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Talbot is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (88).
Talbot shoots left. Monahan is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,084).
Home / Away
Talbot
Monahan
Home
43.5% (85)
51.2% (936)
Away
53.4% (73)
47.3% (894)
By Period
Talbot
Monahan
P1
46.5%
48.8%
P2
46.0%
48.9%
P3
51.9%
50.2%
Final 5 min
39.0%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Talbot
46.0%▲
43.5%
48.1%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2015 | 1 | 18:21 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 2 | 16:15 | Offensive | Max Talbot |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 2 | 07:50 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 1 | 06:40 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 1 | 05:07 | Defensive | Max Talbot |