Scouting Report
Michael Chaput holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Chaput on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Chaput wins 55.8% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chaput 53.4% vs Monahan 50.4% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 73.8%
Defensive zone
Chaput 86.4%
Neutral zone
Chaput 58.5%
Result
Michael Chaput favored at 60.9%
60.9%
39.1%
Chaput
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Chaput
Monahan
Last 8: Chaput 5-3 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Chaput
Monahan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Chaput
2
1
Chaput
Monahan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Chaput
2
1
Chaput
Monahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chaput
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
63.9% (61)
51.0% (1,063)
+12.9%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
49.4% (314)
-49.4%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (12)
40.0% (30)
-6.7%
On power play, Monahan has a +49.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Chaput is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (43).
Chaput shoots left. Monahan is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (899).
Home / Away
Chaput
Monahan
Home
68.0% (25)
53.8% (705)
Away
53.1% (49)
47.0% (702)
By Period
Chaput
Monahan
P1
50.0%
47.3%
P2
44.0%
53.9%
P3
82.6%
49.6%
Final 5 min
62.5%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chaput
56.0%▲
46.5%
58.1%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2017 | 3 | 03:59 | Neutral | Michael Chaput |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 3 | 03:50 | Offensive | Michael Chaput |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 2 | 19:05 | Neutral | Michael Chaput |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 1 | 19:42 | Defensive | Michael Chaput |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 1 | 18:28 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 1 | 14:49 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 1 | 12:39 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 1 | 05:43 | Defensive | Michael Chaput |