Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Koivu wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Koivu 54.1% vs Monahan 51.0% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 64.4%
Defensive zone
Koivu 77.3%
Neutral zone
Koivu 65.1%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 59.2%
59.2%
40.8%
Koivu
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Koivu
Monahan
Last 5: Koivu 4-1 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Koivu
Monahan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
4
0
Koivu
Monahan
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Koivu
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (672)
50.8% (723)
+4.3%
Power Play
56.5% (115)
53.3% (152)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
49.5% (107)
46.2% (13)
+3.3%
On even strength, Koivu has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Koivu is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (592).
Koivu shoots left. Monahan is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Home / Away
Koivu
Monahan
Home
56.6% (410)
52.5% (421)
Away
52.9% (484)
49.9% (467)
By Period
Koivu
Monahan
P1
51.7%
51.4%
P2
56.7%
52.3%
P3
55.3%
50.2%
OT
66.7%
35.7%
Final 5 min
50.9%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.6%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2018 | 2 | 16:44 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 2 | 10:42 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 1 | 19:01 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 6, 2018 | 1 | 15:03 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |