Scouting Report
Patrik Berglund holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Berglund wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Berglund 53.9% vs Monahan 50.4% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 73.1%
Defensive zone
Berglund 68.4%
Neutral zone
Monahan 53.7%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 60.3%
39.7%
60.3%
Berglund
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Berglund
Monahan
Last 8: Berglund 4-4 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
2
3
Berglund
Monahan
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Berglund
2
0
Berglund
Monahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Berglund
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Berglund
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (270)
51.0% (1,063)
+4.2%
Power Play
65.0% (20)
49.4% (314)
+15.6%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (24)
40.0% (30)
+5.8%
On power play, Berglund has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Berglund is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (188).
Berglund shoots left. Monahan is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (899).
Home / Away
Berglund
Monahan
Home
61.2% (139)
53.8% (705)
Away
50.3% (175)
47.0% (702)
By Period
Berglund
Monahan
P1
57.1%
47.3%
P2
60.2%
53.9%
P3
48.0%
49.6%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
61.4%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
55.1%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2017 | 3 | 15:58 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Dec 20, 2017 | 3 | 11:31 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 20, 2017 | 2 | 14:09 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 20, 2017 | 2 | 05:40 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Dec 20, 2017 | 1 | 08:11 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Dec 20, 2017 | 1 | 08:07 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 20, 2017 | 1 | 07:58 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 20, 2017 | 1 | 04:29 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |