Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings). Elias wins 37.9% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Elias 40.5% vs Monahan 49.3% (-10.2%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 11-0 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Elias 89.0%
Defensive zone
Elias 82.7%
Neutral zone
Elias 84.9%
Result
Patrik Elias favored at 87.9%
87.9%
12.1%
Elias
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
11
(11 meetings)
0
11
Elias
Monahan
Last 10: Elias 0-10 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
8
Elias
Monahan
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
3
Elias
Monahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Elias
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
39.3% (550)
49.0% (1,435)
-9.7%
Power Play
50.0% (60)
50.2% (281)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
27.0% (63)
50.9% (114)
-23.9%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +23.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Elias is 37.9% vs left-shot opponents (451).
Elias shoots left. Monahan is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,084).
Home / Away
Elias
Monahan
Home
39.1% (335)
51.2% (936)
Away
39.1% (338)
47.3% (894)
By Period
Elias
Monahan
P1
39.0%
48.8%
P2
35.4%
48.9%
P3
44.4%
50.2%
OT
25.0%
48.5%
Final 5 min
36.5%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
39.1%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2015 | 2 | 13:41 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 25, 2015 | 2 | 13:31 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 25, 2015 | 2 | 05:53 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 25, 2015 | 1 | 17:53 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 25, 2015 | 1 | 17:47 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 25, 2015 | 1 | 10:23 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 25, 2015 | 1 | 10:09 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 25, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 22, 2014 | 3 | 17:38 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 22, 2014 | 2 | 14:09 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 22, 2014 | 2 | 00:25 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |