Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Holland wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Holland 46.1% vs Monahan 49.3% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Holland 50.6%
Defensive zone
Holland 79.8%
Neutral zone
Holland 69.9%
Result
Peter Holland favored at 71.0%
71.0%
29.0%
Holland
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Holland
Monahan
Last 10: Holland 3-7 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Holland
Monahan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
4
Holland
Monahan
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
2
Holland
Monahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Holland
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (575)
49.0% (1,435)
-3.6%
Power Play
44.8% (29)
50.2% (281)
-5.4%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (81)
50.9% (114)
-4.0%
On power play, Monahan has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Holland is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (439).
Holland shoots left. Monahan is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,084).
Home / Away
Holland
Monahan
Home
47.2% (373)
51.2% (936)
Away
43.6% (312)
47.3% (894)
By Period
Holland
Monahan
P1
46.8%
48.8%
P2
47.6%
48.9%
P3
42.5%
50.2%
OT
41.7%
48.5%
Final 5 min
42.0%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Holland
38.0%▼
48.0%
45.5%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2015 | 3 | 13:49 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 13, 2015 | 3 | 08:27 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 13, 2015 | 3 | 04:48 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 13, 2015 | 3 | 00:29 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 13, 2015 | 2 | 12:48 | Offensive | Peter Holland |
| Mar 13, 2015 | 2 | 04:03 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 13, 2015 | 1 | 11:40 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Mar 13, 2015 | 1 | 03:00 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 9, 2014 | 2 | 15:57 | Defensive | Peter Holland |
| Dec 9, 2014 | 1 | 13:19 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |