Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gagner 48.1% vs Monahan 50.4% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 57.6%
Defensive zone
Gagner 60.6%
Neutral zone
Gagner 62.7%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 60.8%
60.8%
39.2%
Gagner
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Gagner
Monahan
Last 6: Gagner 2-4 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Gagner
Monahan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
2
Gagner
Monahan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Gagner
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gagner
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (395)
51.0% (1,063)
-3.7%
Power Play
50.0% (62)
49.4% (314)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
40.0% (30)
+10.0%
On penalty kill, Gagner has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Gagner is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (342).
Gagner shoots right. Monahan is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (508).
Home / Away
Gagner
Monahan
Home
49.4% (267)
53.8% (705)
Away
45.4% (194)
47.0% (702)
By Period
Gagner
Monahan
P1
47.5%
47.3%
P2
48.5%
53.9%
P3
48.1%
49.6%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
58.4%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
47.7%
Monahan
58.0%▲
53.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2017 | 2 | 14:05 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 17, 2017 | 2 | 12:34 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 17, 2017 | 1 | 07:14 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 17, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 1 | 00:06 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |