Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Monahan 51.2% vs Matthias 46.6% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 75.5%
Defensive zone
Monahan 54.3%
Neutral zone
Monahan 68.3%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 64.2%
64.2%
35.8%
Monahan
Matthias
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
8
(17 meetings)
9
8
Monahan
Matthias
Last 10: Monahan 4-6 Matthias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
3
1
Monahan
Matthias
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthias
3
4
Monahan
Matthias
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Monahan
Matthias
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Monahan
Matthias
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (11,197)
46.4% (1,716)
+4.7%
Power Play
53.6% (2,558)
56.3% (103)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (733)
41.7% (175)
+4.3%
On even strength, Monahan has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Matthias shoots left. Monahan is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (9,187).
Monahan shoots left. Matthias is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,275).
Home / Away
Monahan
Matthias
Home
52.3% (7,234)
46.9% (933)
Away
50.2% (7,254)
45.9% (1,069)
By Period
Monahan
Matthias
P1
51.0%
47.8%
P2
51.6%
49.4%
P3
51.1%
41.6%
OT
53.7%
45.0%
Final 5 min
50.2%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Monahan
58.0%▲
53.0%
51.3%
Matthias
40.0%▼
41.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2015 | 3 | 06:18 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 14, 2015 | 1 | 05:42 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |
| Dec 20, 2014 | 3 | 07:05 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |
| Dec 20, 2014 | 1 | 18:55 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |
| Oct 8, 2014 | 2 | 16:31 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 8, 2014 | 2 | 12:49 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 8, 2014 | 2 | 06:57 | Defensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Apr 13, 2014 | 3 | 19:16 | Defensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Mar 8, 2014 | 2 | 11:48 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 8, 2014 | 2 | 07:38 | Defensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Mar 8, 2014 | 2 | 04:04 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 8, 2014 | 2 | 03:57 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 8, 2014 | 2 | 01:19 | Offensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Mar 8, 2014 | 1 | 18:02 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 8, 2014 | 1 | 14:07 | Defensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Mar 8, 2014 | 1 | 03:38 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 22, 2013 | OT | 03:12 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |