Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthias on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Monahan 49.3% vs Matthias 46.7% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 52.9%
Defensive zone
Matthias 66.6%
Neutral zone
Matthias 52.9%
Result
Shawn Matthias favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Monahan
Matthias
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Monahan
Matthias
Last 7: Monahan 3-4 Matthias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
2
0
Monahan
Matthias
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthias
0
1
Monahan
Matthias
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthias
1
3
Monahan
Matthias
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Monahan
Matthias
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (1,435)
47.2% (142)
+1.8%
Power Play
50.2% (281)
100.0% (2)
-49.8%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (114)
34.9% (43)
+16.0%
On power play, Matthias has a +49.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Matthias shoots left. Monahan is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,084).
Monahan shoots left. Matthias is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (117).
Home / Away
Monahan
Matthias
Home
51.2% (936)
45.6% (57)
Away
47.3% (894)
44.6% (130)
By Period
Monahan
Matthias
P1
48.8%
54.3%
P2
48.9%
40.0%
P3
50.2%
40.0%
OT
48.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
43.5%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
49.3%
Matthias
40.0%▼
41.5%
44.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2015 | 3 | 06:18 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 14, 2015 | 1 | 05:42 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |
| Dec 20, 2014 | 3 | 07:05 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |
| Dec 20, 2014 | 1 | 18:55 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |
| Oct 8, 2014 | 2 | 16:31 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 8, 2014 | 2 | 12:49 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 8, 2014 | 2 | 06:57 | Defensive | Shawn Matthias |