Scouting Report
Tomas Plekanec holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Plekanec on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Monahan wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Plekanec shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Monahan 46.3% vs Plekanec 48.1% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 81.0%
Defensive zone
Plekanec 57.5%
Neutral zone
Monahan 61.5%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 54.4%
54.4%
45.6%
Monahan
Plekanec
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Monahan
Plekanec
Last 8: Monahan 2-6 Plekanec
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Plekanec
1
2
Monahan
Plekanec
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Plekanec
1
4
Monahan
Plekanec
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Monahan
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (908)
47.1% (1,214)
-1.2%
Power Play
49.1% (108)
60.2% (128)
-11.1%
Penalty Kill
30.0% (20)
46.6% (371)
-16.6%
On penalty kill, Plekanec has a +16.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. Monahan is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (638).
Monahan shoots left. Plekanec is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,009).
Home / Away
Monahan
Plekanec
Home
48.7% (528)
49.4% (853)
Away
43.1% (508)
46.6% (860)
By Period
Monahan
Plekanec
P1
50.1%
49.5%
P2
44.7%
46.7%
P3
42.7%
48.0%
OT
55.6%
46.7%
Final 5 min
45.0%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
45.9%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2014 | 3 | 00:18 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 9, 2013 | 3 | 10:40 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Oct 9, 2013 | 3 | 08:11 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Oct 9, 2013 | 2 | 18:06 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Oct 9, 2013 | 2 | 10:33 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Oct 9, 2013 | 1 | 13:36 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Oct 9, 2013 | 1 | 11:17 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 9, 2013 | 1 | 04:52 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |