Scouting Report
Vernon Fiddler holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Monahan 51.4% vs Fiddler 53.2% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 78.7%
Defensive zone
Fiddler 88.4%
Neutral zone
Fiddler 57.7%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 59.5%
59.5%
40.5%
Monahan
Fiddler
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Monahan
Fiddler
Last 7: Monahan 5-2 Fiddler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
5
0
Monahan
Fiddler
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fiddler
0
2
Monahan
Fiddler
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Monahan
Fiddler
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (1,117)
54.7% (561)
-4.5%
Power Play
55.5% (283)
62.5% (8)
-7.0%
Penalty Kill
56.8% (44)
48.3% (120)
+8.5%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fiddler shoots left. Monahan is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (928).
Monahan shoots left. Fiddler is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (421).
Home / Away
Monahan
Fiddler
Home
50.1% (731)
53.9% (308)
Away
52.9% (713)
53.5% (381)
By Period
Monahan
Fiddler
P1
51.3%
53.1%
P2
50.3%
53.2%
P3
53.1%
54.8%
Final 5 min
53.0%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.5%
Fiddler
54.0%▼
58.5%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2017 | 3 | 15:49 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 3 | 12:19 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 2 | 19:14 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 2 | 11:54 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 1 | 09:19 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Feb 21, 2017 | 3 | 14:08 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 21, 2017 | 3 | 04:05 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |