Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Rask on neutral-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Monahan 51.3% vs Rask 50.1% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Rask leads 10-10 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 51.0%
Defensive zone
Monahan 51.6%
Neutral zone
Monahan 51.9%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Monahan
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
10
(20 meetings)
10
10
Monahan
Rask
Last 10: Monahan 5-5 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
5
4
Monahan
Rask
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
2
1
Monahan
Rask
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rask
3
5
Monahan
Rask
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Monahan
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (11,356)
50.0% (4,428)
+1.1%
Power Play
53.7% (2,580)
54.3% (363)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (766)
35.2% (54)
+10.8%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Monahan is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (9,301).
Monahan shoots left. Rask is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,102).
Home / Away
Monahan
Rask
Home
52.4% (7,358)
52.0% (2,380)
Away
50.2% (7,344)
48.3% (2,465)
By Period
Monahan
Rask
P1
50.9%
50.7%
P2
51.7%
48.9%
P3
51.0%
50.7%
OT
53.5%
52.1%
Final 5 min
50.3%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.3%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2017 | 3 | 18:27 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Oct 19, 2017 | 2 | 18:19 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 26, 2017 | 3 | 13:04 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Feb 26, 2017 | 2 | 08:46 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Feb 26, 2017 | 2 | 05:17 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 26, 2017 | 1 | 12:19 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 3 | 19:26 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 3 | 09:20 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 3 | 01:57 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 3 | 00:21 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 2 | 19:10 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 2 | 16:04 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 1 | 07:55 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 10, 2014 | 3 | 16:49 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Nov 10, 2014 | 3 | 09:29 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 10, 2014 | 3 | 09:10 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Nov 10, 2014 | 2 | 12:15 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Nov 10, 2014 | 2 | 03:29 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Nov 10, 2014 | 1 | 19:55 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 23, 2014 | 1 | 17:35 | Neutral | Victor Rask |