Scouting Report
Victor Rask holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Rask on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Monahan 49.3% vs Rask 50.9% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 59.7%
Defensive zone
Monahan 58.9%
Neutral zone
Monahan 57.8%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 58.5%
58.5%
41.5%
Monahan
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Monahan
Rask
Last 7: Monahan 2-5 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Monahan
Rask
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
0
Monahan
Rask
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rask
0
4
Monahan
Rask
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Monahan
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (1,435)
51.4% (863)
-2.4%
Power Play
50.2% (281)
55.9% (34)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (114)
23.8% (21)
+27.1%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +27.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Monahan is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,084).
Monahan shoots left. Rask is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (578).
Home / Away
Monahan
Rask
Home
51.2% (936)
53.2% (494)
Away
47.3% (894)
48.3% (424)
By Period
Monahan
Rask
P1
48.8%
49.2%
P2
48.9%
48.9%
P3
50.2%
54.4%
OT
48.5%
63.2%
Final 5 min
43.5%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
49.3%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2014 | 3 | 16:49 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Nov 10, 2014 | 3 | 09:29 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 10, 2014 | 3 | 09:10 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Nov 10, 2014 | 2 | 12:15 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Nov 10, 2014 | 2 | 03:29 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Nov 10, 2014 | 1 | 19:55 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 23, 2014 | 1 | 17:35 | Neutral | Victor Rask |