Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +15.2% FO% edge overall. Monahan wins 53.4% vs right-shot opponents — Nylander shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Monahan 52.8% vs Nylander 45.2% (+15.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nylander 71.2%
Defensive zone
Monahan 60.9%
Neutral zone
Nylander 52.1%
Result
William Nylander favored at 71.2%
28.8%
71.2%
Monahan
Nylander
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Monahan
Nylander
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nylander
0
1
Monahan
Nylander
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Monahan
Nylander
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (823)
41.0% (61)
+12.2%
Power Play
55.3% (159)
0.0% (5)
+55.3%
On power play, Monahan has a +55.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nylander shoots right. Monahan is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (401).
Monahan shoots left. Nylander is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (43).
Home / Away
Monahan
Nylander
Home
54.6% (529)
42.1% (38)
Away
51.6% (548)
32.1% (28)
By Period
Monahan
Nylander
P1
49.0%
37.5%
P2
55.4%
31.0%
P3
53.6%
47.6%
Final 5 min
54.0%
20.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Nylander
34.0%▼
44.0%
37.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 14:23 | Offensive | William Nylander |