Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.5% vs 48.6%). Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 48.8% vs Aho 48.7% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 81.6%
Defensive zone
Sutter 74.8%
Neutral zone
Sutter 56.2%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Sutter
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Sutter
Aho
Last 10: Sutter 4-6 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
4
Sutter
Aho
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
3
1
Sutter
Aho
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
1
2
Sutter
Aho
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (343)
47.4% (953)
+1.6%
Power Play
64.7% (17)
58.0% (174)
+6.7%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (102)
41.6% (77)
+2.5%
On power play, Sutter has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Sutter is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (348).
Sutter shoots right. Aho is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (453).
Home / Away
Sutter
Aho
Home
46.8% (222)
50.2% (609)
Away
50.0% (240)
46.9% (595)
By Period
Sutter
Aho
P1
41.5%
48.7%
P2
52.2%
50.2%
P3
51.3%
47.0%
OT
50.0%
41.7%
Final 5 min
45.8%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
48.5%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2019 | 3 | 13:38 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 3 | 06:30 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 2 | 15:06 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 1 | 19:31 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 1 | 14:40 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 3 | 11:23 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 2 | 18:35 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 2 | 10:29 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Oct 9, 2018 | 1 | 05:35 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |