Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Rowney on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rowney 46.8% vs Aho 52.2% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 86.1%
Defensive zone
Rowney 58.3%
Neutral zone
Aho 69.1%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Rowney
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Rowney
Aho
Last 5: Rowney 4-1 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rowney
3
0
Rowney
Aho
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Rowney
Aho
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rowney
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (158)
51.6% (819)
-5.4%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
58.4% (173)
-58.4%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
46.3% (67)
-29.6%
On power play, Aho has a +58.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Rowney is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (124).
Rowney shoots right. Aho is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (385).
Home / Away
Rowney
Aho
Home
46.5% (114)
53.9% (568)
Away
41.2% (51)
50.7% (491)
By Period
Rowney
Aho
P1
50.0%
55.4%
P2
45.1%
51.2%
P3
39.6%
50.9%
OT
0.0%
28.6%
Final 5 min
52.6%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rowney
52.0%▲
45.0%
44.8%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2022 | 3 | 07:06 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 2 | 16:10 | Defensive | Carter Rowney |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 2 | 16:00 | Defensive | Carter Rowney |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 1 | 11:29 | Neutral | Carter Rowney |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 1 | 11:19 | Defensive | Carter Rowney |