Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kreider 46.2% vs Aho 46.4% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 53.9%
Defensive zone
Aho 56.8%
Neutral zone
Kreider 52.8%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Kreider
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Kreider
Aho
Last 7: Kreider 3-4 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
3
Kreider
Aho
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kreider
3
1
Kreider
Aho
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kreider
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
43.2% (111)
46.2% (744)
-3.0%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
44.6% (112)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
45.5% (33)
+4.5%
On power play, Aho has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Kreider is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (79).
Kreider shoots left. Aho is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (540).
Home / Away
Kreider
Aho
Home
48.6% (70)
46.7% (445)
Away
35.8% (53)
45.3% (444)
By Period
Kreider
Aho
P1
36.8%
48.1%
P2
42.9%
44.9%
P3
47.6%
45.8%
OT
100.0%
12.5%
Final 5 min
57.1%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kreider
44.0%▲
38.0%
43.1%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
46.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2019 | 1 | 16:31 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 2 | 15:58 | Neutral | Chris Kreider |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 3 | 04:51 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 2 | 18:04 | Neutral | Chris Kreider |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 2 | 14:32 | Neutral | Chris Kreider |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 2 | 11:10 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 2 | 02:56 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |