Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Beagle wins 57.1% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 55.9% vs Aho 52.2% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 87.6%
Defensive zone
Beagle 76.0%
Neutral zone
Aho 56.7%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 63.7%
36.3%
63.7%
Beagle
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Beagle
Aho
Last 8: Beagle 3-5 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
5
Beagle
Aho
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
3
0
Beagle
Aho
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (353)
51.6% (819)
+5.6%
Power Play
87.5% (16)
58.4% (173)
+29.1%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (95)
46.3% (67)
+5.3%
On power play, Beagle has a +29.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Beagle is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (340).
Beagle shoots right. Aho is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (385).
Home / Away
Beagle
Aho
Home
62.0% (200)
53.9% (568)
Away
53.4% (264)
50.7% (491)
By Period
Beagle
Aho
P1
55.8%
55.4%
P2
60.1%
51.2%
P3
54.5%
50.9%
OT
62.5%
28.6%
Final 5 min
63.6%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
57.1%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2022 | 3 | 19:09 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Apr 18, 2022 | 3 | 13:42 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 18, 2022 | 3 | 08:22 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Apr 18, 2022 | 3 | 07:43 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 31, 2021 | 3 | 13:11 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 31, 2021 | 3 | 00:57 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 31, 2021 | 1 | 17:27 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 31, 2021 | 1 | 14:41 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |