Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Nash on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nash 49.8% vs Aho 52.4% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Nash leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 82.2%
Defensive zone
Nash 75.3%
Neutral zone
Aho 57.3%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 58.1%
41.9%
58.1%
Nash
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
6
(14 meetings)
8
6
Nash
Aho
Last 10: Nash 6-4 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
2
5
Nash
Aho
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nash
5
0
Nash
Aho
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Nash
Aho
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nash
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (283)
52.4% (622)
-1.2%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
60.7% (28)
-10.7%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (41)
52.4% (42)
-13.4%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Nash is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (252).
Nash shoots right. Aho is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (283).
Home / Away
Nash
Aho
Home
50.6% (178)
54.9% (359)
Away
48.6% (148)
50.5% (333)
By Period
Nash
Aho
P1
46.8%
51.6%
P2
45.5%
53.3%
P3
56.4%
52.7%
OT
100.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.7%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
49.7%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2021 | 2 | 04:22 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 2 | 04:16 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 1 | 15:59 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 1 | 11:52 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 1 | 13:18 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 2 | 12:58 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 2 | 08:09 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 2 | 07:53 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 3 | 07:55 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 2 | 15:30 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 1 | 07:22 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Feb 7, 2021 | 2 | 13:59 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 7, 2021 | 2 | 13:41 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 7, 2021 | 1 | 18:33 | Neutral | Riley Nash |