Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.3% vs 50.6%). Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Aho 51.2% vs Smith 50.6% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 13-11 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 77.0%
Defensive zone
Smith 68.0%
Neutral zone
Aho 51.9%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Aho
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
11
(24 meetings)
13
11
Aho
Smith
Last 10: Aho 4-6 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
5
0
Aho
Smith
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
2
4
Aho
Smith
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
6
7
Aho
Smith
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Aho
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (6,619)
51.6% (5,265)
-1.5%
Power Play
58.9% (1,310)
51.2% (342)
+7.7%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (464)
45.3% (985)
+1.0%
On power play, Aho has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Aho is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (5,305).
Aho shoots left. Smith is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (4,205).
Home / Away
Aho
Smith
Home
52.4% (4,308)
52.5% (3,289)
Away
50.1% (4,085)
48.7% (3,310)
By Period
Aho
Smith
P1
51.1%
49.9%
P2
52.0%
50.0%
P3
50.7%
51.9%
OT
48.9%
51.6%
Final 5 min
50.4%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.3%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2019 | 1 | 09:31 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 3 | 15:12 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 3 | 02:23 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 2 | 10:46 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 18, 2019 | 2 | 17:52 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 18, 2019 | 2 | 14:52 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Jan 6, 2019 | 3 | 06:50 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Jan 6, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 6, 2019 | 2 | 16:41 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Jan 6, 2019 | 2 | 03:39 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 3 | 18:30 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 3 | 01:57 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 3 | 01:41 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 2 | 16:16 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 2 | 10:00 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 1 | 19:29 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 1 | 01:03 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 3 | 08:11 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 3 | 00:20 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |