Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Aho 47.1% vs Smith 48.2% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 56.9%
Defensive zone
Smith 66.4%
Neutral zone
Smith 59.6%
Result
Zack Smith favored at 56.6%
43.4%
56.6%
Aho
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
5
(13 meetings)
8
5
Aho
Smith
Last 10: Aho 7-3 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
4
0
Aho
Smith
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
1
3
Aho
Smith
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
3
2
Aho
Smith
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Aho
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (165)
49.7% (485)
-4.2%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
46.8% (47)
-3.9%
On even strength, Smith has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Aho is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (98).
Aho shoots left. Smith is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (374).
Home / Away
Aho
Smith
Home
50.6% (79)
48.7% (310)
Away
40.9% (93)
47.1% (310)
By Period
Aho
Smith
P1
45.9%
45.8%
P2
48.0%
47.4%
P3
41.5%
50.5%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
45.3%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2018 | 3 | 18:30 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 3 | 01:57 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 3 | 01:41 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 2 | 16:16 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 2 | 10:00 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 1 | 19:29 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 1 | 01:03 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 3 | 08:11 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 3 | 00:20 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 2 | 11:26 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 2 | 04:01 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 1 | 15:46 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zack Smith |