Scouting Report
Johan Larsson holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Larsson on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 51.0% vs Kalinin 43.6% (+9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kalinin 81.3%
Defensive zone
Kalinin 53.9%
Neutral zone
Kalinin 61.8%
Result
Sergey Kalinin favored at 62.4%
37.6%
62.4%
Larsson
Kalinin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Larsson
Kalinin
Last 6: Larsson 2-4 Kalinin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kalinin
0
1
Larsson
Kalinin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kalinin
0
2
Larsson
Kalinin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larsson
2
1
Larsson
Kalinin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Kalinin
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (696)
42.3% (298)
+9.0%
Power Play
56.3% (32)
29.4% (17)
+26.9%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (31)
42.9% (7)
-1.0%
On power play, Larsson has a +26.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kalinin shoots left. Larsson is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (484).
Larsson shoots left. Kalinin is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (225).
Home / Away
Larsson
Kalinin
Home
51.1% (356)
42.8% (173)
Away
51.1% (403)
40.3% (149)
By Period
Larsson
Kalinin
P1
54.6%
39.8%
P2
51.9%
44.1%
P3
46.7%
40.2%
Final 5 min
51.2%
37.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
51.1%
Kalinin
44.0%▲
40.5%
41.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2016 | 3 | 08:36 | Offensive | Sergey Kalinin |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 3 | 01:36 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 2 | 18:44 | Defensive | Sergey Kalinin |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 2 | 15:15 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 2 | 05:35 | Defensive | Sergey Kalinin |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 2 | 01:32 | Neutral | Sergey Kalinin |