Scouting Report
Shawn Horcoff holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Kalinin wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Horcoff shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kalinin 43.6% vs Horcoff 51.0% (-9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kalinin 74.1%
Defensive zone
Kalinin 61.5%
Neutral zone
Kalinin 63.3%
Result
Sergey Kalinin favored at 69.9%
69.9%
30.1%
Kalinin
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Kalinin
Horcoff
Last 6: Kalinin 2-4 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Kalinin
Horcoff
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
0
2
Kalinin
Horcoff
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kalinin
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (298)
51.2% (537)
-8.9%
Power Play
29.4% (17)
66.7% (15)
-37.3%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
47.3% (74)
-4.4%
On power play, Horcoff has a +37.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Kalinin is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (225).
Kalinin shoots left. Horcoff is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (405).
Home / Away
Kalinin
Horcoff
Home
42.8% (173)
52.5% (343)
Away
40.3% (149)
49.5% (283)
By Period
Kalinin
Horcoff
P1
39.8%
48.2%
P2
44.1%
52.2%
P3
40.2%
52.7%
Final 5 min
37.9%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kalinin
44.0%▲
40.5%
41.6%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2016 | 3 | 19:54 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 3 | 05:29 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 2 | 08:05 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 2 | 05:02 | Offensive | Sergey Kalinin |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 1 | 03:45 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 2 | 10:41 | Offensive | Sergey Kalinin |