Scouting Report
Sergey Kalinin holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Kalinin wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Jost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kalinin 43.0% vs Jost 40.5% (+1.4%)
Offensive zone
Jost 50.7%
Defensive zone
Jost 52.7%
Neutral zone
Jost 52.1%
Result
Tyson Jost favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Kalinin
Jost
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kalinin
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
41.9% (453)
41.0% (2,014)
+0.9%
Power Play
33.3% (18)
34.2% (73)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (25)
35.3% (255)
+4.7%
On penalty kill, Kalinin has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Kalinin is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (341).
Kalinin shoots left. Jost is 40.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,466).
Home / Away
Kalinin
Jost
Home
42.8% (285)
41.9% (1,238)
Away
39.8% (211)
38.1% (1,104)
By Period
Kalinin
Jost
P1
43.8%
38.5%
P2
40.6%
41.2%
P3
40.1%
40.9%
Final 5 min
37.0%
38.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kalinin
44.0%▲
40.5%
41.5%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
40.1%