Scouting Report
Victor Rask holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Rask on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kalinin wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Rask shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kalinin 43.0% vs Rask 50.1% (-8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kalinin 71.1%
Defensive zone
Kalinin 86.9%
Neutral zone
Kalinin 77.9%
Result
Sergey Kalinin favored at 74.5%
74.5%
25.5%
Kalinin
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Kalinin
Rask
Last 6: Kalinin 1-5 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rask
0
3
Kalinin
Rask
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rask
1
2
Kalinin
Rask
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kalinin
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
41.9% (453)
50.0% (4,428)
-8.1%
Power Play
33.3% (18)
54.3% (363)
-21.0%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (25)
35.2% (54)
+4.8%
On power play, Rask has a +21.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Kalinin is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (341).
Kalinin shoots left. Rask is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,102).
Home / Away
Kalinin
Rask
Home
42.8% (285)
52.0% (2,380)
Away
39.8% (211)
48.3% (2,465)
By Period
Kalinin
Rask
P1
43.8%
50.7%
P2
40.6%
48.9%
P3
40.1%
50.7%
Final 5 min
37.0%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kalinin
44.0%▲
40.5%
41.5%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2017 | 3 | 14:45 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Mar 27, 2016 | 3 | 14:14 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Mar 27, 2016 | 2 | 06:27 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Mar 27, 2016 | 2 | 02:09 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Mar 27, 2016 | 2 | 02:01 | Neutral | Sergey Kalinin |
| Dec 29, 2015 | 1 | 11:18 | Offensive | Victor Rask |