Scouting Report
Victor Rask holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Rask on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kalinin wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Rask shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kalinin 43.6% vs Rask 51.1% (-9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kalinin 74.8%
Defensive zone
Kalinin 75.8%
Neutral zone
Kalinin 77.5%
Result
Sergey Kalinin favored at 76.4%
76.4%
23.6%
Kalinin
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Kalinin
Rask
Last 5: Kalinin 1-4 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rask
0
2
Kalinin
Rask
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rask
1
2
Kalinin
Rask
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kalinin
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (298)
51.7% (862)
-9.4%
Power Play
29.4% (17)
45.3% (64)
-15.9%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
44.4% (9)
-1.5%
On power play, Rask has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Kalinin is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (225).
Kalinin shoots left. Rask is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (585).
Home / Away
Kalinin
Rask
Home
42.8% (173)
53.6% (466)
Away
40.3% (149)
48.8% (469)
By Period
Kalinin
Rask
P1
39.8%
52.4%
P2
44.1%
50.5%
P3
40.2%
50.8%
Final 5 min
37.9%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kalinin
44.0%▲
40.5%
41.6%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2016 | 3 | 14:14 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Mar 27, 2016 | 2 | 06:27 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Mar 27, 2016 | 2 | 02:09 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Mar 27, 2016 | 2 | 02:01 | Neutral | Sergey Kalinin |
| Dec 29, 2015 | 1 | 11:18 | Offensive | Victor Rask |