Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +17.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarvis 46.0% vs Trocheck 55.9% (-17.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jarvis 52.6%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 68.0%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 54.4%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 57.7%
42.3%
57.7%
Jarvis
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Jarvis
Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
1
Jarvis
Trocheck
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jarvis
1
0
Jarvis
Trocheck
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarvis
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
39.5% (43)
57.3% (482)
-17.8%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
67.8% (118)
-34.5%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (14)
42.6% (108)
+0.3%
On power play, Trocheck has a +34.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Jarvis is 37.5% vs right-shot opponents (8).
Jarvis shoots right. Trocheck is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (237).
Home / Away
Jarvis
Trocheck
Home
41.7% (36)
52.0% (273)
Away
37.0% (27)
59.8% (435)
By Period
Jarvis
Trocheck
P1
35.0%
55.1%
P2
43.5%
61.1%
P3
38.9%
54.1%
OT
50.0%
54.5%
Final 5 min
25.0%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarvis
38.0%▲
36.5%
39.7%
Trocheck
60.0%▼
62.0%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 18:42 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 18:33 | Defensive | Seth Jarvis |