Scouting Report
Frederik Gauthier holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Doan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gauthier 50.7% vs Doan 48.2% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Doan 84.0%
Defensive zone
Gauthier 81.5%
Neutral zone
Doan 61.8%
Result
Shane Doan favored at 57.8%
42.2%
57.8%
Gauthier
Doan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Gauthier
Doan
Last 5: Gauthier 2-3 Doan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Doan
0
3
Gauthier
Doan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gauthier
2
0
Gauthier
Doan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gauthier
Doan
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (154)
47.7% (149)
+6.2%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
46.9% (49)
+10.2%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (74)
0.0% (1)
+44.6%
On penalty kill, Gauthier has a +44.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Doan shoots right. Gauthier is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (85).
Gauthier shoots left. Doan is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (160).
Home / Away
Gauthier
Doan
Home
52.4% (126)
50.0% (118)
Away
49.5% (109)
43.2% (81)
By Period
Gauthier
Doan
P1
47.3%
41.9%
P2
52.4%
50.0%
P3
55.0%
49.3%
Final 5 min
50.0%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gauthier
40.0%▼
45.0%
51.1%
Doan
44.0%▼
47.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2016 | 3 | 18:48 | Offensive | Shane Doan |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 3 | 02:52 | Defensive | Frederik Gauthier |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 3 | 00:49 | Defensive | Frederik Gauthier |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 2 | 04:14 | Offensive | Shane Doan |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 1 | 09:31 | Offensive | Shane Doan |